# Complex system can't be predicted

One of the symptom of Complex problem assumed ordered is to make an attempt to predict a Complex system. Unfortunately, given that a complex system has a Non-linear causality, it's inherently unpredictable.

I think this is one of the reason why complex system is so hard to be understood given that as a human being, we crave and need predictability.


# References

BICEPS — PALOMA MEDINA (opens new window)

There are six core needs researchers find are important for humans (both at work and in our personal lives) … Predictability

  • Resources: There’s enough certainty about resources (money, personnel hours, space) so you can focus on your job or goals.
  • Time: There’s certainty about when things will occur/ when you can prepare for them.
  • Future challenges: You can anticipate and thus can prepare for future challenges.
  • Direction: Goals, strategy, and direction stay consistent and don’t change too often/fast.