# Retrospective coherence should not be used for a complex domain

Due to the Non-linear causality in a Complex system, it's dangerous to assume that we can use Retrospective coherence.

This tendency to use retrospective coherence could be a symptom from Complex problem assumed ordered.


# References

Cynefin Basecamp Nov 2023

Just because you can look back and connect the dots does not mean that you can look forward with the same certainty. There are simply hundreds of points in human systems that are changing dynamically, which does not allow us to use retrospective coherence to predict future risks and / or opportunities.

Max Boisot (1943-2011)

“Hindsight does not lead to foresight..” Max Boisot